The Great Upload Event
Posted: Sat Aug 15, 2026 10:00 pm
The Great Upload Event is the name that I've given to what I think is the most likely scenario for revival. At the current rate of progress on Whole Brain Emulation (WBE) and computing improvements, we would probably be able to upload the first human in about 50 years, or 2075. Subsequent uploads would generally be delayed by about 20 years while we waited for the cost to come down and the quality to go up. During that 20 years, everyone would have certainty that WBE would work. It would dramatically shape how people prioritize everything in their lives. Brain preservation rates would obviously skyrocket. Investments in medical technology would tank because there would be no future at all in medicine with everyone switching to WBE. Investments in space technology would boom because WBEs could easily live in space without all the health problems that humans have to deal with. Because living in space would be easy, WBEs could also thrive there economically by mining, etc. Remember that the level of technology in this future scenario would not be anything close to nanotechnology. We would be slightly further along the path of that revolution, but there would still be nothing resembling nanobots.